The promoters of the meeting of the Ukrainian delegation in Saudi Arabia just maintained the Ukrainian delegation in Saudi Arabia want to show it as a gesture of reconciliation, which is an embarrassing performance that Tandem Trump-Vance publicly provided Tandem Trump-Vance with Volodimir Zelenski as a promotional victim. But, in reality, the encounter did not attempt to restore the debate that could be adjusted for non-existent or about how to achieve a fair and lasting peace. In the roughest terms, appointments can only be described as the stage for Ukraine’s laude Washington orders. Although the meeting was announced to establish a 30-day truce awaiting Russia’s agreement to accept the agreement, the impression would inevitably be imposed.
Trump seeks a deal that allows him to lower the level of war in which the United States participates in his important interests.
To achieve this, Donald Trump only needs to make a few decisions that will make it clear to the Ukrainian rulers that Kiev’s fate is in Washington’s hands. After making a very unbalanced deal proposal, forcing Ukraine to resign from its territory and enter the organization of the North Atlantic Treaty (NATO) without Russia taking a step back, Trump chose to suspend military aid and stop sharing intelligence information with Kief. Since the United States is the primary supplier of military information for Kiev, this measure is an unbearable cost for the armed forces and cannot be provided in a sufficient quantity or its own industrial defense base or its other European allies in the short term. As for the lack of intelligence information, as they have immediately been able to verify the Ukrainian troops determined to maintain their precarious positions in the Russian region of Kursk, the immediate consequence is that Kyiv does not have data to be able to know in real time the movements of his enemy (a situation that can still get worse if Elon Musk passes the words to the facts, cutting the operation of the Starlink network in the Ukrainian territory).
That’s why now, once Zelenski saw Trump’s unshaking hands while he used up his efforts to defend his countrymen and soldiers, the White House immediately reversed his decision with a gesture of goodwill and a promise to Ukraine. Therefore, blackmailing Zelenski, Trump must be able to impose his own orders without obvious resistance. It is calculated that this will allow the Ukrainians to bend over on the one hand to continue their war of struggle, on the other hand to survive, on the other hand to conduct business.
In the prospect, Trump seeks a deal that allows him to lower the level of U.S. participation in wars in which his important interests are not threatened. In this way, he hopes to focus freely in China, transform into a competitive force of world hegemony in a very obvious way, and even approaching Russia, the dream weakens the ties Moscow and Beijing are building. The agreement reached, if specific in terms of the currently published terms, rather than a gift pointing to Putin by peace, is free to restore the warmth of the road when you think it is convenient. In the second, it is difficult to avoid feeling that Zelenski will be forced to transfer at least half of the exploitation of national mining wealth to Washington to mortgage a future that will be non-military Russia, and there are not enough security guarantees and not enough security guarantees to prevent Putting from returning to the streets.
Therefore, Ukraine is still able to use hundreds of drones to attack on Russian territory, such as in the early hours, which has barely used his efforts to destroy his critical infrastructure – daring to ironically maintain them put the peace process at risk. Given the weakness of its negotiations, it is impossible to expect Kiev to obtain security assurances from Washington, that is, after reaching an agreement with Moscow’s assumption, he believes that it is crucial that the contingency of European countries formed in the entire dividing line can be established in all European countries as can be determined. Without such a guarantee, many countries would not dare to send soldiers to that line, and Putin would continue to believe that the day he decided that he could violate the agreement he signed and the state’s national sovereignty, which he believed he did not think should exist.
Author: Jesús A. Núñez Villaverde
The last post in Ukraine was first published in the real Institute Elcano.